Today, two main parameters are emerging that the team of newly elected U.S. President Donald Trump may potentially bring to the negotiation table regarding the conclusion of the full-scale war in Ukraine.
Sources explain that the first parameter will relate to Ukraine's NATO membership. This issue will be removed from the agenda and "put in a drawer," but not "thrown in the trash."
The second parameter will concern the freezing of hostilities along the line that will de facto be established on the battlefield at that time. In Kyiv, this scenario is viewed unfavorably, as it does not resolve the issue of Russian aggression and the restoration of Ukraine's territorial integrity. As the experience from ATO/OOS in Donbas has shown, any freeze can turn into active combat.
In many discussions regarding "Trump's actions concerning Ukraine," a key aspect is often overlooked—the readiness of the aggressor state to end military actions. Currently, there is no such readiness. Russian occupiers continue their offensive operations in Donbas, and it seems they have no plans to stop on their own initiative.
Despite Kyiv's hopes that a conclusion to the war can be achieved by 2025, work is simultaneously underway on another scenario that involves strengthening the defense capabilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) and ensuring readiness for a potential continuation of the war. These tasks will remain relevant even during Donald Trump's presidency.